Trump took a big hit this week as the latest polls show Virginia has swung strongly to Clinton. With Clinton favored by 7.5%, Virginia is no longer in play. States in which Clinton leads Trump in the polls by 5% or more now total 273 giving Clinton all she needs to win in November. By comparison, Trump has 164 EC votes in 5%+ states. There are 7 states in play, 6 of which favor Clinton. Trump must win all of them, plus 1 or 2 states that are Strong Clinton states. His road is now effectively closed and he must reopen it. He is making no effort to do so.
Trump continues to avoid hitting Clinton on the issues where she's vulnerable, instead making clearly ridiculous claims that he later describes as sarcasm except that when he made them and was questioned in insisted he was serious. Sure he was (that's sarcasm). Trump continues to self-destruct. His antics with the media are having the opposite effect of what they had in the primaries where his outlandish pronouncements produced more support. Now, voter are being drive away.
This is no surprise. When Trump secured the nomination, there were numerous warnings that the media coverage would become negative in the general campaign and that has proved to be the case. Clinton has little need to attack Trump or discuss the issues. She can follow the advise of Napoleon: “Never interrupt your enemy when he is making a mistake.” Trump's entire campaign has been one mistake after another.
Gary Johnson continues to direct his campaign to the left in a new appeal to millennials. He is holding nationally at 8.3% and probably needs to poll higher to goet on stage for the debates.
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